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Arlington Sees Sustained Drop in Covid Cases

New Covid cases in Arlington as of Sept. 23, 2021 (via Virginia Dept. of Health)

There’s a bit of good news for Arlington on the Covid front.

The county has seen a more than week-long decline in its seven-day moving average of new Covid cases. The average currently stands at 33 cases per day, down from a seasonal peak of 48 cases per day on Sept. 14.

The daily case average was last below 30 in early August, as the delta-variant-fueled wave of cases was on the rise in Arlington.

The county’s test positivity rate has also been dropping, but more modestly. The rate currently stands at 3.1%, according to Virginia Dept. of Health data.

Serious health complications from Covid remain at a relatively low level in Arlington. Nine Covid-related hospitalizations and one death have been reported in the county since the start of September.

As of this morning, VDH reports that 76.3% of Arlington’s adult population has received at least one vaccine dose.

Covid cases have been falling both statewide and nationally, suggesting that the delta wave has crested. One influential mathematical model is predicting a steady decrease in both new infections and deaths nationally through March, barring a new, even more infectious variant or an unexpected winter surge.

New Covid cases in Virginia as of Sept. 23, 2021 (via Virginia Dept. of Health)