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This regularly scheduled sponsored Q&A column is written by Eli Tucker, Arlington-based Realtor and Arlington resident. Please submit your questions to him via email for response in future columns. Video summaries of some articles can be found on YouTube on the Eli Residential channel. Enjoy!
Question: How has the Arlington condo market performed in the first half of 2024?
Answer: The Arlington condo market had a historically strong first half performance this year, with average prices up a whopping 13.6% in the first half of 2024 compared to the first half of 2023.
A Wave of Demand Led to Remarkable Appreciation
Coming into the year, there were strong signs of upward price pressure in the condo market with inventory levels well below the 10-year average and significant increases in key demand metrics (% of condos selling within ten days and % of sale price to original asking price). We also had pent-up demand from would-be condo buyers in 2023, who held off on a purchase waiting/hoping for rates to drop, combined with the normal cycle of 2024 condo buyers to create strong demand in the first half of the year.
For a market that is generally flat/stable, even appreciation of 3-5% in a year is notable on a historical level, making double-digit growth is remarkable. For perspective, by most measures, we saw more appreciation in the first half of this year than we saw in the 12-16 months following the Amazon HQ2 announcement.
How the Data is Organized
For my mid-year reviews, I like to compare the first half of the year to the same period (first half) of prior years, rather than comparing the first half of the current year to the full year in prior years. We tend to see a much stronger market (higher demand, more competition) in the first half of the year than the second half, so I feel like this approach gives us a more apples-to-apples comparison.
It’s also important to note that the data I use is based on homes that went under contract in the first half of the year because it’s more reflective of actual buying activity during that period; as opposed to looking at homes that closed in the first half of the year, but may have gone under contract many months prior during different market conditions.
Highlights of a Strong Condo Market













