A Delta flight at the gate at Reagan National Airport (staff photo)
Regional airport leaders are budgeting for a moderate rebound in passenger numbers after a decline in 2025.
The calendar year 2026 budget for the Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority (MWAA) anticipates about 12.8 million enplanements next year, up from a projected 12.6 million in 2025 but down from the record 13.1 million enplanements in 2024.
This regularly scheduled column is written by Eli Tucker, Arlington-based Realtor and Arlington resident. If you would like to work with Eli and his team in Northern Virginia and the greater D.C. Metro area, you can reach him directly at[email protected].
Question: Do you expect the housing market to continue at its current pace through the summer?
Answer: Buyers throughout Northern VA have faced stiff competition so far in 2026, especially for detached homes and townhomes. Some relief is coming to buyers still searching for a home, although it will come at the cost of seeing fewer homes hit the market.
The data below is based on homes sold in Arlington VA that went under contract in 2023-2025, but the seasonal trends apply across most Northern VA markets.
Second Half Market is Slower, Less Competitive
When you buy a home affects the way you experience the housing market. Buyers who are active in the first half of the year experience a constant flow of new listings, homes going under contract quickly, frequent competition, and rising prices. Buyers who are active in the second half of the year see fewer listings, homes take longer to sell, less competition, and more stable prices.
Slower market: Homes sell about 30% slower in the second half of the year
More negotiations: Buyers negotiate ~2% more off the original asking price in the second half of the year
Harder to find what you want: 25-30% fewer homes come to market during the second half of the year
Prices stabilize: Prices tend to appreciate during the first half of the year and stabilize in the second half of the year
Caution on misreading the data: The 3% and 7% drop in average sold price in the second half of 2024 and 2025 does not necessarily mean home values were 3% and 7% lower during that time, the drop is more correlated to less expensive homes being listed for sale in the second half of the year than the first half
Brown leaves in a big pile, waiting for the vacuum truck (staff photo)
Rosslyn Panera Closing — “Office workers in Rosslyn are about to lose one of their go-to lunch spots. Panera Bread at 1700 N. Moore St. is closing its doors at 4 p.m. on Nov. 25 after more than a dozen years in the location, the Washington Business Journal has learned. A Panera spokesperson confirmed the store’s closing, adding that no additional store closures are planned ‘at this time.'” [WBJ]
Arlington Man on Jeopardy! — “Jeopardy host just introduced a contestant who is a ‘stay at home dog dad from Arlington, Virginia.'” [Daniella Diaz/X, The Jeopardy! Fan, LinkedIn]
Holiday Bread Options — “Pick up spiced, seasoned and fruited holiday loaves, plus classic baguettes, boules, challah and other leavened goodies from these Northern Virginia bakeries.” [Arlington Magazine]
Right-to-Work Repeal Bill — “Virginia state Sen. Jennifer Carroll Foy, D-Woodbridge, has filed legislation to repeal the state’s longstanding right-to-work law — something Gov.-elect Abigail Spanberger, also a Democrat, has said she does not support.” [WBJ, Virginia Scope]
Beyer Censure Reform Bill — “The Beyer bill would require a 60% majority to censure a House member, per text obtained by @axios
GOP Rep. Don Bacon co-leading. “We believe this is a sensible reform that would fix a broken process and raise the level of sanity in the House,” they wrote to colleagues.” [Andrew Solender/X]
It’s Friday — Expect mostly cloudy skies and a high temperature of 56°F. The wind will shift to the south, blowing at around 5 mph. Friday evening will bring rainfall, with temperatures around 49°F and the wind turning north at 6 mph after midnight. There is a 90% chance of precipitation, with potential accumulation between a quarter and half an inch. [NWS]
Rain is expected mostly after 1pm, accompanied by mostly cloudy conditions and a high temperature near 56°F. The calm wind will later shift to the south, blowing at around 5 mph, with a 50% chance of precipitation. Friday night will experience more rainfall, with temperatures around 49°F and a calm wind turning north at 6 mph after midnight. There is a 90% chance of precipitation, with potential accumulation between a quarter and half an inch. See more from Weather.gov.
💡 Quote of the Day
“The only way to do great work is to love what you do.” – Steve Jobs
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Join us for a special Movie Night on the Pike as we transform Arlington Mill into an outdoor World Cup watch party!
Watch the FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals on a giant screen alongside neighbors from around the globe while enjoying the excitement, energy, and community spirit that make Columbia Pike one of the most diverse places in the region.
Arlington Free Clinic on Columbia Pike (staff photo by James Jarvis)
Expected spikes in health care premiums, cuts to Medicaid funding and tighter eligibility requirements have left Arlington social services scrambling to meet an incoming surge in need.
Northern Virginia officials at the state and federal level say they’re doing what they can to soften the impacts of planned federal rollbacks, many of which aren’t scheduled to take effect for months or years. Despite Democrats’ efforts in Congress, however, one of the first major changes — a lapse in enhanced premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act — is expected to hit as many as 100,000 Virginians at the end of the year.
A child uses a trampoline at Urban Air (courtesy of Urban Air)
Another trampoline park chain is seeking to open a location in Arlington.
Urban Air Adventure Park has announced plans to open somewhere in the county, though “they don’t have a specific site locked down yet,” a spokesperson told ARLnow. Meanwhile, another company, SkyZone, is still looking for a place to open a local trampoline park after announcing similar plans in March 2024.
Several new shirt designs have dropped at the ARLnow Shop just in time for the holidays. Order today for yourself or that special Arlingtonian in your life.
Washington-Liberty and Yorktown each won seven football games this season (staff photo by Dave Facinoli)
The 19 combined victories amassed this fall by the four varsity high-school football teams in Arlington were three fewer than during the 2024 campaign.
The drop-off can be attributed to the Washington-Liberty Generals having five fewer wins than a year ago, when the team achieved a single-season program best 12 victories.
A Christmas tree at the Fashion Centre at Pentagon City (file photo)
The following was originally emailed to ARLnow Press Club members this past weekend. Sign up to get upgraded newsletters and exclusive features while supporting local news in your community.
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